Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Fostinovo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Paul Revere 3 55.5 1 0.00 3.0 85 75 85 +0 2 Fostinovo 3 57.0 2 2.80 3.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Warning Light 3 57.0 3 6.60 3.0 86 78 78 -8 4 Sutherland 4 59.5 4 7.60 1.5 85 86 86 +1 5 Diwali Rocket 3 61.5 5 8.30 3.0 89 87 87 -2 6 Ensuing 2 60.5 6 8.35 0.0 87 91 91 +4 7 Clarkson 4 54.5 7 10.55 1.5 75 76 76 +1 8 Chieftain's Shield 4 52.5 8 10.95 1.5 76 72 72 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Revere | 85 | 92 | 85 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fostinovo Line | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Warning Light | 86 | 86 | 78 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sutherland | 85 | 85 | 86 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Diwali Rocket | 89 | 89 | 87 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ensuing | 87 | 87 | 91 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Clarkson | 75 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Chieftain's Shield | 76 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points