Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACE COAST INCENTIVES POWERED BY Hollywoodbets CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Ozark
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Pearl 6 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 68 68 68 +0 2 Jet A One 2 59.0 2 0.40 0.0 68 73 73 +5 3 Ozark 4 55.5 3 1.90 1.5 61 61 61 +0 4 Shifting Path 2 56.5 4 2.10 0.0 63 66 66 +3 5 Firingonallengines 4 60.0 5 2.60 1.5 70 69 69 -1 6 Wave Of Glory 3 56.5 6 5.35 2.5 71 58 61 -10 7 Gravity 4 56.5 7 6.60 1.5 63 60 60 -3 8 Prince Of Tibet 4 56.5 8 7.10 1.5 63 60 60 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Pearl | 68 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jet A One | 68 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ozark Line | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Shifting Path | 63 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Firingonallengines | 70 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Wave Of Glory | 71 | 71 | 61 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gravity | 63 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Prince Of Tibet | 63 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points