Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: LUCKY FISH FIRE STRIKE MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Oliver
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 What A Fortune 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 89 88 88 -1 2 Masterofthedesert 2 51.5 2 0.50 0.0 86 82 82 -4 3 Oliver 5 60.0 3 1.75 0.0 97 97 97 +0 4 Absolutely Yes 2 58.5 4 2.05 0.0 99 94 94 -5 5 Nordic Chief 4 60.0 5 3.30 1.5 96 92 92 -4 6 Scottish Kiss 3 61.5 6 3.60 2.5 101 93 93 -8 7 Objet D' Art 2 55.5 7 4.00 0.0 92 86 86 -6 99 King Regent 3 63.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | What A Fortune | 89 | 95 | 88 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Masterofthedesert | 86 | 86 | 82 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Oliver Line | 97 | 97 | 97 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Absolutely Yes | 99 | 99 | 94 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nordic Chief | 96 | 94 | 92 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Scottish Kiss | 101 | 100 | 93 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Objet D' Art | 92 | 89 | 86 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | King Regent | - | 106 | 96 | +10 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points