Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 28 MARCH PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
Karate Kid
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ziyasha 2 58.0 1 0.00 2.5 117 117 117 +0 2 Karate Kid 3 52.0 2 1.40 3.5 103 103 103 +0 3 Gimmethegoodlife 3 48.5 3 1.60 3.5 97 96 96 -1 4 William Robertson 6 62.0 4 2.10 0.0 124 130 130 +6 5 Anfields Rocket 5 52.5 5 2.15 0.0 106 111 111 +5 6 Rodeo Drive 2 54.0 6 3.05 2.5 113 109 109 -4 7 Rafa Bay 2 50.5 7 3.75 2.5 97 102 102 +5 8 Minogue 4 54.0 8 6.50 4.0 112 106 106 -6 9 The Africa House 4 48.0 9 12.00 4.0 94 94 94 +0 10 Busstopinhounslow 3 56.0 10 14.00 3.5 110 111 111 +1 11 Chasing Happiness 3 54.5 11 16.50 3.5 110 108 108 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ziyasha | 117 | 118 | 117 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Karate Kid Line | 103 | 103 | 103 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Gimmethegoodlife | 97 | 96 | 96 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | William Robertson | 124 | 124 | 130 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Anfields Rocket | 106 | 106 | 111 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rodeo Drive | 113 | 113 | 109 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rafa Bay | 97 | 96 | 102 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Minogue | 112 | 112 | 106 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | The Africa House | 94 | 93 | 94 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Busstopinhounslow | 110 | 110 | 111 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Chasing Happiness | 110 | 110 | 108 | +2 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points