Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Show Off
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Prairie Dawn 3 59.5 1 0.00 3.0 87 81 81 -6 2 Show Off 3 57.5 2 0.20 3.0 77 77 77 +0 3 Meet The King 3 51.0 3 0.70 3.0 78 69 69 -9 3 Signor Dante 3 56.5 3 0.70 3.0 74 80 80 +6 5 Fort Yukon 3 55.0 5 2.45 3.0 78 74 74 -4 6 Captains Alliance 2 58.0 6 3.20 0.0 84 86 86 +2 7 Red Dawn 3 59.5 7 4.45 3.0 81 81 81 +0 8 Bel Canto Dream 3 56.0 8 4.95 3.0 74 74 74 +0 9 Diamond Rock 4 59.5 9 5.45 1.5 81 84 84 +3 10 Count William 3 50.5 10 7.95 3.0 71 63 63 -8 11 Blackberry Malt 5 61.5 11 8.45 0.0 85 91 91 +6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prairie Dawn | 87 | 89 | 81 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Show Off Line | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Meet The King | 78 | 78 | 69 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Signor Dante | 74 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Fort Yukon | 78 | 78 | 74 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Captains Alliance | 84 | 81 | 86 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Red Dawn | 81 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bel Canto Dream | 74 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Diamond Rock | 81 | 78 | 84 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Count William | 71 | 71 | 63 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Blackberry Malt | 85 | 82 | 91 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points