Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Jazz Cafe
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Silver Salute 3 55.5 1 0.00 3.0 79 74 74 -5 2 Jazz Cafe 3 57.5 2 1.00 3.0 82 82 82 +0 3 Comic Relief 2 57.0 3 2.20 0.0 82 86 86 +4 4 Spinmyangelsspin 3 58.0 4 2.25 3.0 78 82 82 +4 5 Poursomesugaronme 5 58.0 5 3.15 0.0 78 87 87 +9 6 Sign Of Fate 4 55.0 6 4.75 1.5 77 76 76 -1 7 Escapologist 5 57.5 7 6.35 0.0 77 84 84 +7 8 Blue Poppy 3 59.0 8 6.60 3.0 86 81 81 -5 9 Mrsglittersparkles 2 56.0 9 7.80 0.0 83 81 81 -2 99 Gulf Of America 2 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Salute | 79 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jazz Cafe Line | 82 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Comic Relief | 82 | 81 | 86 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Spinmyangelsspin | 78 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Poursomesugaronme | 78 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sign Of Fate | 77 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Escapologist | 77 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blue Poppy | 86 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mrsglittersparkles | 83 | 82 | 81 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gulf Of America | - | 76 | 77 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points