Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: RACE COAST INCENTIVES POWERED BY Hollywoodbets MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Blue Lagoon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Somebody Somewhere   3    60.0    1    0.00     3.5   -     78           6     +6
2    Blue Lagoon          3    60.0    2    0.05     3.5   78    78           78    +0
3    Before Sunrise       3    60.0    3    1.80     3.5   -     78           78    +78
4    Hop Hop Spinnekop    3    60.0    4    4.05     3.5   -     78           78    +78
5    Mon Papillon         3    60.0    5    5.05     3.5   -     78           78    +78
6    Redlight Lane        3    60.0    6    5.45     3.5   75    78           78    +3
7    Liefling             3    60.0    7    8.95     3.5   -     78           78    +78
8    Love Abounds         3    56.0    8    11.20    3.5   -     70           70    +70
9    Ntibindi             3    57.5    9    11.60    3.5   -     73           73    +73
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Somebody Somewhere - 78 6 +72 3.5 -
2 Blue Lagoon Line 78 78 78 ✓ Match 3.5
3 Before Sunrise - 74 78 -4 3.5 -
4 Hop Hop Spinnekop - 69 78 -9 3.5 -
5 Mon Papillon - - 78 -78 3.5 -
6 Redlight Lane 75 73 78 -5 3.5 -
7 Liefling - 70 78 -8 3.5 -
8 Love Abounds - - 70 -70 3.5 -
9 Ntibindi - 69 73 -4 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points