Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 83 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Jack's Bird
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Lady Serena          3    53.0    1    0.00     1.5   73    65           73    +0
2    Sea Eagle            3    49.0    2    0.50     1.5   73    62           63    -10
3    Jack's Bird          5    57.0    3    1.00     0.0   80    80           80    +0
4    Sacred Blues         5    53.0    4    1.05     0.0   77    72           72    -5
5    Drama Queen          5    59.5    5    2.35     0.0   82    83           83    +1
6    Flashy Kaitrina      5    53.0    6    3.95     0.0   72    69           69    -3
7    Fateful Mistress     5    52.0    7    5.45     0.0   58    66           66    +8
8    Lady Yusra           3    57.5    8    5.50     1.5   82    74           74    -8
9    Retail Therapy       5    57.5    9    9.20     0.0   78    77           77    -1
10   Just For Laughs      3    54.5    10   12.80    1.5   79    68           69    -10
99   Jackson Wells        5    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     82           82    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lady Serena 73 80 73 +7 1.5 -
2 Sea Eagle 73 68 63 +5 1.5 -
3 Jack's Bird Line 80 75 80 -5 0.0
4 Sacred Blues 77 76 72 +4 0.0 -
5 Drama Queen 82 84 83 +1 0.0 -
6 Flashy Kaitrina 72 82 69 +13 0.0 -
7 Fateful Mistress 58 51 66 -15 0.0 -
8 Lady Yusra 82 85 74 +11 1.5 -
9 Retail Therapy 78 70 77 -7 0.0 -
10 Just For Laughs 79 57 69 -12 1.5 -
99 Jackson Wells - 76 82 -6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points