Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: RACING240 MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Care Forgot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bob's Your Uncle 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 100 108 106 +6 2 Care Forgot 3 60.0 2 0.25 3.0 102 102 102 +0 3 The Africa House 4 58.0 3 0.50 1.5 94 106 106 +12 4 Robert Browning 3 54.0 4 1.00 3.0 87 94 94 +7 5 Douglas Dragon 3 54.0 5 1.50 3.0 89 93 93 +4 6 Palace Prince 2 60.0 6 2.75 0.0 104 110 110 +6 7 Open Highway 4 58.0 7 5.15 1.5 94 101 101 +7 8 Royal Edition 4 56.0 8 5.45 1.5 93 97 97 +4 9 Mo Ment 4 56.0 9 7.15 1.5 93 97 97 +4 10 Champion Warrior 3 58.0 10 7.45 3.0 97 98 98 +1 11 Apache Son 4 54.0 11 20.75 1.5 89 93 93 +4 99 Master Christmas 4 58.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 101 101 +0 99 Ceuta 4 56.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 97 97 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bob's Your Uncle | 100 | 103 | 106 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Care Forgot Line | 102 | 102 | 102 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | The Africa House | 94 | 93 | 106 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Robert Browning | 87 | 87 | 94 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Douglas Dragon | 89 | 89 | 93 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Palace Prince | 104 | 103 | 110 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Open Highway | 94 | 94 | 101 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Edition | 93 | 92 | 97 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mo Ment | 93 | 93 | 97 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Champion Warrior | 97 | 97 | 98 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Apache Son | 89 | 89 | 93 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Master Christmas | - | 94 | 101 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ceuta | - | 97 | 97 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points