Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 2 APRIL MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Time Will Tell
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Romilly              2    61.0    1    0.00     2.5   81    81           81    +0
2    Time Will Tell       2    55.0    2    2.75     2.5   69    69           69    +0
3    Plumbago Park        2    57.0    3    3.25     2.5   73    73           73    +0
4    Prized Platinum      3    59.5    4    4.25     3.5   73    76           76    +3
5    Palace Revolt        2    55.5    5    4.45     2.5   65    70           70    +5
6    Sergeant Soqrat      2    55.5    6    4.65     2.5   73    70           70    -3
7    Daring Act           4    53.5    7    4.85     4.0   61    63           63    +2
8    Kotinos              3    51.0    8    4.95     3.5   61    59           59    -2
9    Legendary            2    58.0    9    5.00     2.5   70    75           75    +5
10   Ready Set Fire       2    57.5    10   5.50     2.5   69    74           74    +5
11   Ubermensch           3    60.0    11   5.75     3.5   74    77           77    +3
12   El Zani              3    60.0    12   7.00     3.5   82    77           77    -5
13   Duchess Zahra        3    58.5    13   8.00     3.5   76    74           74    -2
14   Spy Story            3    57.5    14   8.75     3.5   69    72           72    +3
15   Bell Of Angelus      2    57.5    15   10.75    2.5   74    74           74    +0
16   King Of Numbers      4    61.0    16   13.75    4.0   76    78           78    +2
99   Prophet              2    56.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     71           71    +0
99   Sea Shanty           4    58.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     73           73    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Romilly 81 87 81 +6 2.5 -
2 Time Will Tell Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 2.5
3 Plumbago Park 73 72 73 -1 2.5 -
4 Prized Platinum 73 72 76 -4 3.5 -
5 Palace Revolt 65 64 70 -6 2.5 -
6 Sergeant Soqrat 73 71 70 +1 2.5 -
7 Daring Act 61 60 63 -3 4.0 -
8 Kotinos 61 59 59 ✓ Match 3.5 -
9 Legendary 70 69 75 -6 2.5 -
10 Ready Set Fire 69 69 74 -5 2.5 -
11 Ubermensch 74 74 77 -3 3.5 -
12 El Zani 82 82 77 +5 3.5 -
13 Duchess Zahra 76 76 74 +2 3.5 -
14 Spy Story 69 66 72 -6 3.5 -
15 Bell Of Angelus 74 71 74 -3 2.5 -
16 King Of Numbers 76 75 78 -3 4.0 -
99 Prophet - 66 71 -5 2.5 -
99 Sea Shanty - 71 73 -2 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points