Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollyoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Hampstead Heath
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Whirlwind 3 59.5 1 0.00 3.0 82 79 79 -3 2 Clair De Lune 2 56.0 2 1.50 2.0 83 74 74 -9 3 Hampstead Heath 4 58.0 3 1.90 3.5 75 75 75 +0 4 Eisteddfod 2 59.0 4 4.65 2.0 81 80 80 -1 5 Maritzburg Memory 2 58.0 5 5.40 2.0 75 78 78 +3 6 Saachi One 3 59.0 6 5.70 3.0 81 78 78 -3 7 October Fest 2 58.0 7 6.00 2.0 75 78 78 +3 8 Red Beryl 3 57.0 8 6.40 3.0 77 74 74 -3 9 Boozy Susie 3 59.5 9 8.15 3.0 82 79 79 -3 10 Peace Of Mind 3 57.5 10 10.15 3.0 74 75 75 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whirlwind | 82 | 87 | 79 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Clair De Lune | 83 | 84 | 74 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Hampstead Heath Line | 75 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Eisteddfod | 81 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Maritzburg Memory | 75 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Saachi One | 81 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | October Fest | 75 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Red Beryl | 77 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Boozy Susie | 82 | 82 | 79 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Peace Of Mind | 74 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points