Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Call Me Jane
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Catch A Penny 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 80 80 80 +0 2 Summer Winter 3 59.0 2 1.20 3.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Call Me Jane 3 56.0 3 1.70 3.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Magical Sky 2 60.0 4 2.20 2.0 84 82 82 -2 5 Sugarbush 3 56.0 5 3.90 3.0 72 72 72 +0 6 Take Your Place 3 55.0 6 4.90 3.0 70 70 70 +0 7 Clickbait 3 56.5 7 6.30 3.0 73 73 73 +0 8 Captain Ventura 3 56.5 8 7.20 3.0 80 73 73 -7 99 Wings Of Josephine 3 57.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Ruby Rising 3 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catch A Penny | 80 | 84 | 80 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Summer Winter | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Call Me Jane Line | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Magical Sky | 84 | 84 | 82 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sugarbush | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Take Your Place | 70 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Clickbait | 73 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Captain Ventura | 80 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Wings Of Josephine | - | 78 | 75 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ruby Rising | - | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points