Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / RCS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
0 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Olaf The Stout 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 - - - +0 2 Fyfield Legend 2 60.0 2 8.25 2.0 - - - +0 3 Red Birch 2 57.5 3 9.50 2.0 - - - +0 4 Digital Warfare 2 60.0 4 13.25 2.0 - - - +0 5 Maestro Azul 2 60.0 5 15.50 2.0 - - - +0 6 Silva Streaker 2 57.5 6 20.25 2.0 - - - +0 99 Weekend In Aspen 2 57.5 99 0.00 2.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olaf The Stout | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fyfield Legend | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Red Birch | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Digital Warfare | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Maestro Azul | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Silva Streaker | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Weekend In Aspen | - | - | - | - | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points