Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Hollandia Bakkerij
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hollandia Bakkerij 3 60.5 1 0.00 3.5 76 76 76 +0 2 Arividicio 5 48.0 2 0.75 0.0 50 64 64 +14 3 Golden Grey 4 58.0 3 1.00 1.5 64 81 81 +17 4 Terminal Velocity 2 60.0 4 2.25 0.0 68 87 87 +19 5 Lana View 3 55.5 5 2.30 3.5 64 70 70 +6 6 Amazing Colours 4 55.5 6 4.05 1.5 59 72 72 +13 7 Silvano's Song 3 60.5 7 4.30 3.5 74 77 77 +3 8 Pardon Me 5 52.5 8 4.40 0.0 53 68 68 +15 9 Flash Lightning 4 60.5 9 6.15 1.5 69 80 80 +11 10 Oranjemund 4 57.5 10 7.15 1.5 63 74 74 +11 11 San Quintin 6 55.0 11 9.40 0.0 58 72 72 +14 12 King Celtillus 3 61.0 12 11.65 3.5 70 77 77 +7 13 Mystic Vision 3 59.0 13 99.99 3.5 66 73 73 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollandia Bakkerij Line | 76 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 2 | Arividicio | 50 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Golden Grey | 64 | 64 | 81 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Terminal Velocity | 68 | 68 | 87 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lana View | 64 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Amazing Colours | 59 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Silvano's Song | 74 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Pardon Me | 53 | 53 | 68 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Flash Lightning | 69 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Oranjemund | 63 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | San Quintin | 58 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | King Celtillus | 70 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Mystic Vision | 66 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points