Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 17 APRIL MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Thunder Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cheerful Charlie B 3 49.5 1 0.00 2.5 61 47 61 +0 2 Thunder Master 6 61.0 2 0.50 0.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Asinantanga 3 57.5 3 0.75 2.5 73 67 67 -6 4 Guarding The Wall 4 54.5 4 1.00 1.0 67 64 64 -3 5 Burning Man 3 58.0 5 1.25 2.5 74 68 68 -6 6 Das Gute 4 57.5 6 1.30 1.0 78 69 69 -9 7 Global Speak 3 53.0 7 3.55 2.5 64 55 55 -9 8 Pedro 6 57.0 8 4.80 0.0 72 67 67 -5 9 Alado's Pride 7 53.5 9 8.05 0.0 73 60 63 -10 10 Coral Creek 3 57.5 10 8.10 2.5 73 63 63 -10 11 American Matador 3 56.5 11 13.60 2.5 71 61 61 -10 12 Pyro Edition 2 56.5 12 13.70 0.0 71 66 66 -5 99 Red William 5 62.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheerful Charlie B | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Thunder Master Line | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Asinantanga | 73 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Guarding The Wall | 67 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Burning Man | 74 | 74 | 68 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Das Gute | 78 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Global Speak | 64 | 64 | 55 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Pedro | 72 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Alado's Pride | 73 | 71 | 63 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Coral Creek | 73 | 73 | 63 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | American Matador | 71 | 71 | 61 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Pyro Edition | 71 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Red William | - | 83 | 78 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points