Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACE COAST SALES BIG CAP (Open (Non-Black Type))
Line Horse
Roland Garros
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
6 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Roland Garros 2 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 108 108 108 +0 2 Talk To The Master 2 56.0 2 1.80 0.0 106 114 114 +8 3 What A Fortune 2 50.5 3 1.90 0.0 95 103 103 +8 4 Isivivane 3 55.0 4 2.15 2.0 104 108 108 +4 5 Randolph Hearst 2 56.5 5 3.85 0.0 112 113 113 +1 6 Malmesbury Missile 2 55.5 6 4.05 0.0 110 111 111 +1 7 Just Be Lekker 4 57.5 7 4.10 1.0 113 113 113 +0 8 Great Plains 3 63.0 8 4.15 2.0 122 122 122 +0 9 Tintin 3 50.0 9 4.65 2.0 88 95 95 +7 10 Porridge Boy 2 51.0 10 8.55 0.0 101 101 101 +0 11 Vapour Trail 2 54.0 11 10.15 0.0 107 107 107 +0 12 Bjorn Ironside 2 55.5 12 12.95 0.0 105 110 110 +5 99 That's My Baby 2 50.0 99 0.00 0.0 97 99 97 +0 99 Pretty Persuasive 2 50.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 99 99 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roland Garros Line | 108 | 108 | 108 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Talk To The Master | 106 | 106 | 114 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | What A Fortune | 95 | 95 | 103 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Isivivane | 104 | 104 | 108 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Randolph Hearst | 112 | 112 | 113 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Malmesbury Missile | 110 | 110 | 111 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Just Be Lekker | 113 | 113 | 113 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Great Plains | 122 | 122 | 122 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tintin | 88 | 88 | 95 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Porridge Boy | 101 | 101 | 101 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Vapour Trail | 107 | 107 | 107 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Bjorn Ironside | 105 | 105 | 110 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | That's My Baby | 97 | 97 | 97 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Pretty Persuasive | - | 102 | 99 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points