Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Phutulicious
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
5 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
9 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Phutulicious 3 62.0 1 0.00 3.0 74 74 74 +0 2 Sign Of Fate 4 58.0 2 0.80 3.5 74 65 65 -9 3 Definitely Yes 2 60.5 3 2.90 2.0 71 73 73 +2 4 Lunch Money 3 60.0 4 4.20 3.0 70 70 70 +0 5 Heaven's Will 3 56.0 5 4.50 3.0 62 62 62 +0 6 Acacia's Blossom 2 58.0 6 5.20 2.0 66 68 68 +2 7 In The Bag 4 55.5 7 5.30 3.5 61 60 60 -1 8 Top Gun 3 60.5 8 6.90 3.0 71 71 71 +0 9 Sun Dazed 6 57.0 9 6.95 0.0 64 70 70 +6 10 Golden Moment 3 56.0 10 8.65 3.0 62 62 62 +0 11 Brave Voyager 3 52.0 11 8.70 3.0 51 54 54 +3 12 One Irish Rover 5 57.5 12 10.30 0.0 65 71 71 +6 13 Happy Wanderer 5 50.0 13 11.70 0.0 55 56 56 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phutulicious Line | 74 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 2 | Sign Of Fate | 74 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Definitely Yes | 71 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lunch Money | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Heaven's Will | 62 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Acacia's Blossom | 66 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | In The Bag | 61 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Top Gun | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sun Dazed | 64 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Golden Moment | 62 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Brave Voyager | 51 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | One Irish Rover | 65 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Happy Wanderer | 55 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points