Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Phantom Man
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Phantom Man 4 61.5 1 0.00 1.5 71 71 71 +0 2 Masteronthemoon 2 59.0 2 0.50 0.0 73 76 76 +3 3 Echo Foxtrot 3 52.5 3 1.75 3.5 57 54 54 -3 4 Quiet Place 3 59.0 4 3.00 3.5 73 65 65 -8 5 Glenalmond 2 52.5 5 3.50 0.0 58 59 59 +1 6 From The Get Go 3 57.5 6 6.00 3.5 70 59 60 -10 7 Master Coiner 3 60.5 7 7.25 3.5 - 65 65 +65 8 O'Fellow 2 49.5 8 7.65 0.0 62 50 52 -10 9 Double Distilled 3 49.5 9 12.15 3.5 52 43 43 -9 99 Undoubted The Boy 3 52.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 49 49 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phantom Man Line | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 2 | Masteronthemoon | 73 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Echo Foxtrot | 57 | 57 | 54 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Quiet Place | 73 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Glenalmond | 58 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | From The Get Go | 70 | 68 | 60 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Master Coiner | - | 64 | 65 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | O'Fellow | 62 | 60 | 52 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Double Distilled | 52 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Undoubted The Boy | - | 54 | 49 | +5 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points