Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACING240 MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Nelson Bay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
4 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
0 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Porfirio 6 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 88 87 88 +0 2 Cian The Conqueror 5 52.5 2 0.10 0.0 81 80 80 -1 3 Nelson Bay 4 57.0 3 1.85 1.0 90 90 90 +0 4 Accept Cookies 3 59.0 4 2.35 2.0 94 91 91 -3 5 Global State 2 56.0 5 3.60 0.0 88 88 88 +0 6 Cheeky Laddie 5 55.5 6 3.85 0.0 87 87 87 +0 7 Beynac 2 57.5 7 4.10 0.0 90 91 91 +1 8 New Mexico 2 53.5 8 4.60 0.0 83 82 82 -1 9 Home Of The Brave 2 59.0 9 29.35 0.0 97 93 93 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porfirio | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cian The Conqueror | 81 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Nelson Bay Line | 90 | 90 | 90 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Accept Cookies | 94 | 94 | 91 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Global State | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cheeky Laddie | 87 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Beynac | 90 | 90 | 91 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | New Mexico | 83 | 83 | 82 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Home Of The Brave | 97 | 97 | 93 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points