Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: BET WITH TOTE www.tote.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)

Line Horse
Blue Lagoon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Blue Lagoon          3    60.0    1    0.00     3.0   78    78           78    +0
2    Scandalize           2    57.5    2    2.00     2.0   73    75           75    +2
3    Piteraq              2    60.0    3    2.75     2.0   73    80           80    +7
4    Before Sunrise       3    60.0    4    5.00     3.0   74    78           78    +4
5    Future Red           3    60.0    5    8.25     3.0   -     78           78    +78
6    Limerance            2    57.0    6    10.50    2.0   -     74           74    +74
7    Lucy's World         2    57.0    7    17.50    2.0   -     74           74    +74
8    Glitter And Glam     3    60.0    8    28.50    3.0   -     78           78    +78
99   Gqeberha             3    60.0    99   0.00     3.0   -     78           78    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Blue Lagoon Line 78 78 78 ✓ Match 3.0
2 Scandalize 73 73 75 -2 2.0 -
3 Piteraq 73 73 80 -7 2.0 -
4 Before Sunrise 74 74 78 -4 3.0 -
5 Future Red - - 78 -78 3.0 -
6 Limerance - - 74 - 2.0 -
7 Lucy's World - - 74 - 2.0 -
8 Glitter And Glam - - 78 -78 3.0 -
99 Gqeberha - - 78 -78 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points