Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BET WITH TOTE www.tote.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Blue Lagoon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Blue Lagoon 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 78 78 78 +0 2 Scandalize 2 57.5 2 2.00 2.0 73 75 75 +2 3 Piteraq 2 60.0 3 2.75 2.0 73 80 80 +7 4 Before Sunrise 3 60.0 4 5.00 3.0 74 78 78 +4 5 Future Red 3 60.0 5 8.25 3.0 - 78 78 +78 6 Limerance 2 57.0 6 10.50 2.0 - 74 74 +74 7 Lucy's World 2 57.0 7 17.50 2.0 - 74 74 +74 8 Glitter And Glam 3 60.0 8 28.50 3.0 - 78 78 +78 99 Gqeberha 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Lagoon Line | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 2 | Scandalize | 73 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Piteraq | 73 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Before Sunrise | 74 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Future Red | - | - | 78 | -78 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Limerance | - | - | 74 | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lucy's World | - | - | 74 | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Glitter And Glam | - | - | 78 | -78 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gqeberha | - | - | 78 | -78 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points