Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: LUCKY FISH MYSTIC FORTUNE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Cutie Patootie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cutie Patootie 3 58.5 1 0.00 2.5 84 84 84 +0 2 Mighty Mary 2 55.5 2 0.50 0.0 78 88 88 +10 3 Apricity 2 53.5 3 1.25 0.0 74 83 83 +9 4 April Fools' Day 3 55.5 4 1.30 2.5 78 81 81 +3 5 My Only Weakness 3 61.0 5 1.60 2.5 84 92 92 +8 6 La Patrona 2 53.0 6 2.35 0.0 78 80 80 +2 7 Amayah 2 57.5 7 2.40 0.0 82 89 89 +7 8 Hunga Tonga 3 58.0 8 6.40 2.5 78 83 83 +5 9 Girl Magic 3 60.5 9 6.90 2.5 83 88 88 +5 10 Marketa 2 54.5 10 17.90 0.0 76 81 81 +5 99 Ebisu 2 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 88 88 +0 99 All Is Green 3 53.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 74 74 +0 99 Spirit Of Levana 3 53.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cutie Patootie Line | 84 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 2 | Mighty Mary | 78 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Apricity | 74 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | April Fools' Day | 78 | 78 | 81 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | My Only Weakness | 84 | 84 | 92 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | La Patrona | 78 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Amayah | 82 | 82 | 89 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hunga Tonga | 78 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Girl Magic | 83 | 83 | 88 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Marketa | 76 | 76 | 81 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ebisu | - | 83 | 88 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | All Is Green | - | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Spirit Of Levana | - | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points