Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Charlie Bucket
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ferryman 3 60.5 1 0.00 2.0 - 67 6 +6 2 Charlie Bucket 3 59.5 2 1.25 2.0 69 69 69 +0 3 Oh So Onederful 3 55.5 3 1.45 2.0 66 60 60 -6 4 Joueur De Flute 3 58.5 4 1.75 2.0 67 66 66 -1 5 Royal Influencer 3 60.0 5 2.25 2.0 75 69 69 -6 6 Rhythm King 3 53.5 6 2.65 2.0 62 55 55 -7 7 Ready For The Road 3 54.0 7 3.40 2.0 68 55 58 -10 8 Mercenary 3 61.5 8 4.90 2.0 78 69 69 -9 9 Monticello 3 50.5 9 6.15 2.0 59 47 49 -10 10 Love From Afar 2 57.0 10 6.20 0.0 69 64 64 -5 11 Born Of Fire 3 57.5 11 8.95 2.0 70 61 61 -9 99 Royal Clinton 2 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferryman | - | - | 6 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Charlie Bucket Line | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Oh So Onederful | 66 | 66 | 60 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Joueur De Flute | 67 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Royal Influencer | 75 | 75 | 69 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rhythm King | 62 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ready For The Road | 68 | 68 | 58 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mercenary | 78 | 78 | 69 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Monticello | 59 | 59 | 49 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Love From Afar | 69 | 69 | 64 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Born Of Fire | 70 | 70 | 61 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Royal Clinton | - | 66 | 61 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points