Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 23 APRIL MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Shoreybomba
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Orange County 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 77 87 77 +0 2 Royal Engagement 3 58.5 2 2.30 3.5 80 83 83 +3 3 Shoreybomba 3 55.5 3 2.70 3.5 77 77 77 +0 4 Full Go 6 52.0 4 3.80 0.0 59 76 76 +17 5 Zip Code 3 59.5 5 5.20 3.5 75 83 83 +8 6 Naretoi 2 58.5 6 5.30 0.0 73 88 88 +15 7 Storm Ahead 4 62.0 7 6.10 1.5 80 92 92 +12 8 Real Stunner 3 59.0 8 6.80 3.5 74 82 82 +8 9 Sky Pillar Rock 3 61.0 9 11.20 3.5 81 86 86 +5 10 Artic Silver 3 60.5 10 12.70 3.5 77 85 85 +8 11 World Order 2 60.5 11 15.00 0.0 84 92 92 +8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County | 77 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Royal Engagement | 80 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Shoreybomba Line | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Full Go | 59 | 59 | 76 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Zip Code | 75 | 72 | 83 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Naretoi | 73 | 71 | 88 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Storm Ahead | 80 | 79 | 92 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Real Stunner | 74 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Sky Pillar Rock | 81 | 81 | 86 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Artic Silver | 77 | 77 | 85 | -8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | World Order | 84 | 84 | 92 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points