Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAB 4RACING APP FM 86 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Avernian Goddess
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
7 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Wishes And Dreams 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 88 88 88 +0 2 Montelena 4 60.5 2 3.25 1.0 90 92 92 +2 3 Avernian Goddess 3 62.5 3 4.50 2.5 91 91 91 +0 4 Hat Montera 3 53.5 4 4.75 2.5 81 73 73 -8 5 Lady Bomber 3 60.5 5 5.00 2.5 87 87 87 +0 6 Mountain High 3 58.0 6 7.75 2.5 82 82 82 +0 7 Royal City Girl 2 61.0 7 8.00 0.0 93 93 93 +0 8 Honorable Member 3 61.0 8 9.00 2.5 88 88 88 +0 9 Exquisite 3 58.5 9 9.10 2.5 83 83 83 +0 10 Twilight Bay 2 53.0 10 13.85 0.0 72 77 77 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wishes And Dreams | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Montelena | 90 | 90 | 92 | -2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Avernian Goddess Line | 91 | 91 | 91 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Hat Montera | 81 | 81 | 73 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Lady Bomber | 87 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mountain High | 82 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Royal City Girl | 93 | 93 | 93 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Honorable Member | 88 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Exquisite | 83 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Twilight Bay | 72 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points