Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACE COAST - BRIGHT FUTURE FOR SA HORSE RACING MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Amber Alert
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Amber Alert 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 77 77 77 +0 2 Kid From The South 2 57.0 2 2.10 2.0 - 71 71 +71 3 Tiger Cody 2 57.0 3 2.80 2.0 - 71 71 +71 4 Stronger Together 2 57.0 4 3.40 2.0 - 71 71 +71 5 Pinkerton's Son 2 56.0 5 12.60 2.0 53 69 69 +16 6 War Machine 2 57.0 6 14.70 2.0 - 71 71 +71 7 Billy Lover Boy 2 57.0 7 62.00 2.0 - 71 71 +71 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amber Alert Line | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 2 | Kid From The South | - | - | 71 | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Tiger Cody | - | - | 71 | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Stronger Together | - | - | 71 | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pinkerton's Son | 53 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | War Machine | - | - | 71 | - | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Billy Lover Boy | - | - | 71 | - | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points