Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: DENNIS DRIER POINSETTIA STAKES (Grade 3) (For 3-year & older Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Buttercup Baby
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Asiye Phambili 3 62.0 1 0.00 3.0 119 111 111 -8 2 Tulip Fields 2 54.0 2 3.70 2.0 99 97 97 -2 3 Buttercup Baby 3 55.5 3 4.00 3.0 98 98 98 +0 4 Symphony In White 2 58.5 4 4.50 2.0 107 106 106 -1 5 Serengetti Sun 2 53.5 5 4.80 2.0 100 96 96 -4 6 Mai Sensation 3 59.5 6 5.40 3.0 108 106 106 -2 7 Regeneration 3 57.0 7 5.65 3.0 105 101 101 -4 8 Babelicious 3 58.5 8 6.05 3.0 106 104 104 -2 9 Sweetie Darling 2 55.5 9 6.35 2.0 100 100 100 +0 10 Vision To Achieve 4 55.0 10 6.50 3.5 87 96 96 +9 11 Tara Star 4 55.5 11 8.10 3.5 96 97 97 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asiye Phambili | 119 | 120 | 111 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tulip Fields | 99 | 100 | 97 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Buttercup Baby Line | 98 | 98 | 98 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Symphony In White | 107 | 107 | 106 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Serengetti Sun | 100 | 98 | 96 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mai Sensation | 108 | 107 | 106 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Regeneration | 105 | 102 | 101 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Babelicious | 106 | 106 | 104 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sweetie Darling | 100 | 100 | 100 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Vision To Achieve | 87 | 87 | 96 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Tara Star | 96 | 96 | 97 | -1 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points