Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: LUCKY FISH NEW FORTUNE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Fort Yukon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Noon Day Gun 4 58.0 1 0.00 1.0 66 72 72 +6 2 Cedar Point 3 61.5 2 0.20 2.0 78 77 77 -1 3 Prince Of Tibet 4 56.5 3 2.70 1.0 63 71 71 +8 4 Fort Yukon 3 61.5 4 3.45 2.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Typically French 4 52.5 5 4.70 1.0 52 61 61 +9 6 District Master 3 61.5 6 7.45 2.0 73 77 77 +4 7 Givethatmanabells 4 60.0 7 7.55 1.0 70 76 76 +6 8 Run For Cover 5 57.5 8 8.55 0.0 70 73 73 +3 9 Klein Karoo 3 61.5 9 8.85 2.0 73 77 77 +4 10 Devil A Saint 4 59.5 10 16.35 1.0 69 75 75 +6 11 Major Apollo 2 59.0 11 20.10 0.0 68 76 76 +8 99 Super Viking 3 61.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 76 76 +0 99 Count William 3 60.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Fortune One 2 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noon Day Gun | 66 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cedar Point | 78 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Prince Of Tibet | 63 | 62 | 71 | -9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fort Yukon Line | 78 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 2.0 | ||
| 5 | Typically French | 52 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | District Master | 73 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Givethatmanabells | 70 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Run For Cover | 70 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Klein Karoo | 73 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Devil A Saint | 69 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Major Apollo | 68 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Super Viking | - | 77 | 76 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Count William | - | 71 | 75 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fortune One | - | 78 | 81 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points