Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Girl Like Us
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
9 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Berry's Boogie (AUS 3 60.5 1 0.00 3.0 83 84 84 +1 2 Clair De Lune 2 55.0 2 0.20 2.0 84 75 75 -9 3 Girl Like Us 4 59.0 3 1.20 3.5 80 80 80 +0 4 Music Of The Night 2 60.0 4 1.40 2.0 86 85 85 -1 5 Eisteddfod 2 57.0 5 1.80 2.0 80 79 79 -1 6 Star World 2 58.0 6 2.55 2.0 82 81 81 -1 7 Hampstead Heath 4 56.5 7 4.55 3.5 75 75 75 +0 8 Seven No Trump 2 58.5 8 4.60 2.0 83 82 82 -1 9 Maritzburg Memory 2 56.0 9 4.70 2.0 74 77 77 +3 10 Supreme Fate 3 58.0 10 5.00 3.0 78 79 79 +1 11 Iona Castle 3 56.5 11 6.50 3.0 79 76 76 -3 12 Miss William 3 61.0 12 10.25 3.0 84 85 85 +1 99 Malibu Blitz 3 53.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berry's Boogie (AUS) | 83 | 86 | 84 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Clair De Lune | 84 | 85 | 75 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Girl Like Us Line | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Music Of The Night | 86 | 86 | 85 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Eisteddfod | 80 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Star World | 82 | 82 | 81 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hampstead Heath | 75 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Seven No Trump | 83 | 83 | 82 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Maritzburg Memory | 74 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Supreme Fate | 78 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Iona Castle | 79 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Miss William | 84 | 83 | 85 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Malibu Blitz | - | 73 | 70 | +3 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points