Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WORLD SPORTS BETTING MR 92 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Arctic Drift
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dubai Lights 4 54.5 1 0.00 1.0 81 76 81 +0 2 Arctic Drift 5 62.0 2 2.00 0.0 96 96 96 +0 3 Lion's Head 4 58.5 3 13.25 1.0 89 84 84 -5 4 Magical Midlands 4 58.0 4 14.50 1.0 88 83 83 -5 5 Secret Oasis 3 52.5 5 16.75 2.5 82 69 72 -10 6 Sudden Star 5 61.5 6 20.50 0.0 95 92 92 -3 7 Kariba Hall 4 57.0 7 34.75 1.0 86 81 81 -5 8 Coup De Main 4 52.5 8 34.95 1.0 74 72 72 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dubai Lights | 81 | 77 | 81 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Arctic Drift Line | 96 | 97 | 96 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Lion's Head | 89 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Magical Midlands | 88 | 79 | 83 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Secret Oasis | 82 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Sudden Star | 95 | 86 | 92 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kariba Hall | 86 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Coup De Main | 74 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points