Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE APPRENTICE D STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Trafalgar Square
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Chara Sands          3    59.5    1    0.00     2.5   70    62           62    -8
2    Victor Rail          5    60.0    2    0.40     0.0   61    68           68    +7
3    Cappellino           3    58.5    3    1.70     2.5   61    60           60    -1
4    Trafalgar Square     6    60.5    4    1.85     0.0   69    69           69    +0
5    Lunch Money          3    60.0    5    2.85     2.5   68    63           63    -5
6    Zoombomber           2    58.5    6    3.35     1.5   60    62           62    +2
7    Gorgeous Bomb        3    53.5    7    4.35     2.5   58    50           50    -8
8    Grand Force          3    51.5    8    7.15     2.5   54    46           46    -8
9    Winter Blessing      2    58.5    9    7.95     1.5   73    62           63    -10
99   Catavar              4    61.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     71           71    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Chara Sands 70 74 62 +12 2.5 -
2 Victor Rail 61 61 68 -7 0.0 -
3 Cappellino 61 61 60 +1 2.5 -
4 Trafalgar Square Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 0.0
5 Lunch Money 68 66 63 +3 2.5 -
6 Zoombomber 60 59 62 -3 1.5 -
7 Gorgeous Bomb 58 56 50 +6 2.5 -
8 Grand Force 54 52 46 +6 2.5 -
9 Winter Blessing 73 73 63 +10 1.5 -
99 Catavar - 64 71 -7 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points