Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WSB.CO.ZA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Turbulent
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bourne Supremacy 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 78 83 83 +5 2 Turbulent 3 60.0 2 1.50 2.5 81 81 81 +0 3 Truly Magical 2 57.5 3 3.25 1.5 65 78 78 +13 4 Delaroche 2 57.5 4 3.50 1.5 66 78 78 +12 5 Laudium 3 57.5 5 4.00 2.5 62 76 76 +14 6 Caughtubysurprise 3 57.5 6 4.05 2.5 52 76 76 +24 7 Timeline 3 57.5 7 4.15 2.5 50 76 76 +26 8 Norse Warrior 2 60.0 8 4.65 1.5 54 83 83 +29 9 Alesian Beau 3 60.0 9 4.90 2.5 66 81 81 +15 10 Looking Good 2 55.0 10 7.40 1.5 64 73 73 +9 11 Sun Eclipse 3 57.5 11 7.50 2.5 - 76 76 +76 12 Gutsy Baby 2 56.0 12 13.00 1.5 66 75 75 +9 99 Magnus The Good 2 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 83 83 +0 99 Nordic Spy 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 81 81 +0 99 Scented Path 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 81 81 +0 99 Shooting Arrow 3 57.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bourne Supremacy | 78 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Turbulent Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Truly Magical | 65 | 65 | 78 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Delaroche | 66 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Laudium | 62 | 61 | 76 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Caughtubysurprise | 52 | 50 | 76 | -26 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Timeline | 50 | 53 | 76 | -23 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Norse Warrior | 54 | 54 | 83 | -29 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Alesian Beau | 66 | 66 | 81 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Looking Good | 64 | 62 | 73 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Sun Eclipse | - | - | 76 | -76 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Gutsy Baby | 66 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Magnus The Good | - | 74 | 83 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Nordic Spy | - | 56 | 81 | -25 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Scented Path | - | 52 | 81 | -29 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Shooting Arrow | - | 36 | 76 | -40 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points