Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 15 MAY FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Homing Pigeon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Green Isle 2 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 77 76 77 +0 2 Hat Montera 3 58.5 2 0.25 2.5 81 67 71 -10 3 Homing Pigeon 2 59.0 3 0.75 0.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Spoil Yourself 2 58.5 4 0.80 0.0 73 78 78 +5 5 Flight Display 2 58.5 5 2.05 0.0 81 77 77 -4 6 Preserve Forever 3 52.0 6 5.05 2.5 56 54 54 -2 7 Celtique 3 52.5 7 10.30 2.5 57 55 55 -2 8 Three Cheers 3 61.5 8 13.80 2.5 79 73 73 -6 9 Sugar Baby Love 3 51.0 9 19.30 2.5 65 52 55 -10 99 Princess Of Bayeux 2 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green Isle | 77 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hat Montera | 81 | 82 | 71 | +11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Homing Pigeon Line | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Spoil Yourself | 73 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flight Display | 81 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Preserve Forever | 56 | 56 | 54 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Celtique | 57 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Three Cheers | 79 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Sugar Baby Love | 65 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Princess Of Bayeux | - | 73 | 74 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points