Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 21 MAY FM 78 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Kortvandraad
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Scarlet O'Hara 3 59.0 1 0.00 2.5 81 79 81 +0 2 Kortvandraad 3 55.0 2 0.20 2.5 71 71 71 +0 3 Apostrophe 3 54.5 3 0.45 2.5 72 75 75 +3 4 Play With Fire 4 57.5 4 1.20 1.0 78 83 83 +5 5 Silver Flare 4 53.0 5 1.25 1.0 64 74 74 +10 6 Sheets And Goggles 3 52.0 6 2.25 2.5 62 68 68 +6 7 Chariklo 3 55.0 7 2.45 2.5 73 73 73 +0 8 Rosy Lemon 5 57.0 8 2.65 0.0 72 82 82 +10 9 Surprise Party 2 60.0 9 2.85 0.0 83 88 88 +5 10 Artic Silver 3 59.5 10 4.10 2.5 77 81 81 +4 11 Party Punch 3 52.0 11 6.35 2.5 60 65 65 +5 12 Hopscotch 2 52.0 12 8.10 0.0 62 70 70 +8 13 Kiss Of Fire 5 52.5 13 8.85 0.0 66 71 71 +5 14 Palace Script 3 57.0 14 32.10 2.5 77 75 75 -2 99 Kylie's Angel 3 52.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 65 65 +0 99 Beira 3 54.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scarlet O'Hara | 81 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kortvandraad Line | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Apostrophe | 72 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Play With Fire | 78 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Silver Flare | 64 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sheets And Goggles | 62 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Chariklo | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Rosy Lemon | 72 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Surprise Party | 83 | 82 | 88 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Artic Silver | 77 | 76 | 81 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Party Punch | 60 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Hopscotch | 62 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Kiss Of Fire | 66 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Palace Script | 77 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Kylie's Angel | - | 57 | 65 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Beira | - | 67 | 70 | -3 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points