Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 4 JUNE MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Umzingeli Wenyathi
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
4 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
0 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Umzingeli Wenyathi 2 63.5 1 0.00 1.5 90 90 90 +0 2 Twentytwentyvision 2 59.5 2 0.20 1.5 79 82 82 +3 3 Lonely As A Cloud 3 55.5 3 0.50 2.5 71 72 72 +1 4 Slender Silhouette 2 57.0 4 2.00 1.5 77 77 77 +0 5 Rock Of Bismantova 3 61.5 5 5.20 2.5 83 84 84 +1 6 Hemisphere 3 61.5 6 5.45 2.5 83 84 84 +1 7 His Lordship 3 62.0 7 5.65 2.5 84 85 85 +1 8 Bumps Last Grind 2 57.5 8 5.75 1.5 75 78 78 +3 9 Fifty Ways 2 57.5 9 8.35 1.5 78 78 78 +0 10 Saketini 2 59.5 10 13.35 1.5 82 82 82 +0 99 Cold Shine 2 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Umzingeli Wenyathi Line | 90 | 90 | 90 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 2 | Twentytwentyvision | 79 | 79 | 82 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Lonely As A Cloud | 71 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Slender Silhouette | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Rock Of Bismantova | 83 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Hemisphere | 83 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | His Lordship | 84 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bumps Last Grind | 75 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Fifty Ways | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Saketini | 82 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Cold Shine | - | 74 | 77 | -3 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points