Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)

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Line Horse
Lyrical Gangster
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    All About Al         7    59.5    1    0.00     0.0   78    84           84    +6
2    Lyrical Gangster     2    59.0    2    0.75     1.5   80    80           80    +0
3    Major Apollo         2    54.5    3    2.25     1.5   68    71           71    +3
4    Hedrivesmecrazy      2    54.5    4    2.65     1.5   76    71           71    -5
5    Volegov              3    58.0    5    3.65     2.5   78    76           76    -2
6    Take That            3    57.5    6    4.65     2.5   77    75           75    -2
7    Escarpment           4    60.0    7    4.85     0.0   79    85           85    +6
8    Galactus             3    48.5    8    5.25     2.5   64    57           57    -7
9    Trailfinder          2    60.0    9    5.30     1.5   82    82           82    +0
10   Fort Red             4    53.5    10   7.10     0.0   66    72           72    +6
11   Street Outlaw        5    54.5    11   99.92    0.0   76    74           74    -2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 All About Al 78 81 84 -3 0.0 -
2 Lyrical Gangster Line 80 80 80 ✓ Match 1.5
3 Major Apollo 68 67 71 -4 1.5 -
4 Hedrivesmecrazy 76 76 71 +5 1.5 -
5 Volegov 78 76 76 ✓ Match 2.5 -
6 Take That 77 77 75 +2 2.5 -
7 Escarpment 79 79 85 -6 0.0 -
8 Galactus 64 63 57 +6 2.5 -
9 Trailfinder 82 79 82 -3 1.5 -
10 Fort Red 66 65 72 -7 0.0 -
11 Street Outlaw 76 76 74 +2 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points