Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: LUCKY LAD (2024) MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Jp's Palace
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mohave Prince 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 93 96 96 +3 2 Jp's Palace 3 58.5 2 0.05 2.0 95 95 95 +0 3 Diani 5 58.5 3 0.30 0.0 94 104 104 +10 4 Cleartherunway 3 55.5 4 2.40 2.0 88 91 91 +3 5 Better Man 2 61.5 5 2.55 0.0 104 107 107 +3 6 Guy Gibson 2 61.5 6 2.80 0.0 99 107 107 +8 7 Uzwano 3 60.0 7 3.20 2.0 95 100 100 +5 8 African Dusk 5 50.0 8 4.50 0.0 82 82 82 +0 9 Power Star 2 51.0 9 6.60 0.0 58 84 84 +26 10 Son Of Rafeef 3 55.5 10 7.00 2.0 87 89 89 +2 11 Kitchakal 5 55.5 11 7.50 0.0 86 93 93 +7 12 Frere Jacques 3 55.5 12 7.80 2.0 84 89 89 +5 99 Talk To The Master 2 63.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 109 109 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohave Prince | 93 | 93 | 96 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jp's Palace Line | 95 | 95 | 95 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Diani | 94 | 94 | 104 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cleartherunway | 88 | 88 | 91 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Better Man | 104 | 104 | 107 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Guy Gibson | 99 | 99 | 107 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Uzwano | 95 | 95 | 100 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | African Dusk | 82 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Power Star | 58 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Son Of Rafeef | 87 | 87 | 89 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kitchakal | 86 | 86 | 93 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Frere Jacques | 84 | 84 | 89 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Talk To The Master | - | 106 | 109 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points