Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 18 JUNE MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Antonio Gaudi
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
5 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
12 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cold Shine 2 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 74 77 74 +0 2 Antonio Gaudi 2 59.0 2 0.25 1.5 81 81 81 +0 3 Esquevelle 3 62.0 3 4.75 2.5 84 85 85 +1 4 Sakura Hanami 3 58.5 4 6.35 2.5 80 78 78 -2 5 Geostorm 2 58.5 5 6.40 1.5 80 80 80 +0 6 Arizona Magic 4 56.5 6 6.65 0.0 73 79 79 +6 7 One Tiger 2 58.0 7 8.95 1.5 79 79 79 +0 8 Romilly 2 62.0 8 9.15 1.5 87 87 87 +0 9 African Prince 3 60.5 9 11.15 2.5 86 82 82 -4 10 Salute The Flag 3 60.5 10 13.05 2.5 81 82 82 +1 11 Biofarmer 4 59.0 11 14.30 0.0 78 84 84 +6 12 Trail Runner 3 56.0 12 16.30 2.5 75 73 73 -2 13 Stars And Bra's 2 58.0 13 19.30 1.5 81 79 79 -2 14 Saketini 2 58.5 14 21.30 1.5 80 80 80 +0 15 Rock Of Bismantova 3 61.5 15 31.50 2.5 83 84 84 +1 99 Prized Platinum 3 56.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 73 73 +0 99 Legendary 2 56.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 75 75 +0 99 Dante's Bond 2 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cold Shine | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Antonio Gaudi Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Esquevelle | 84 | 82 | 85 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Sakura Hanami | 80 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Geostorm | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Arizona Magic | 73 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | One Tiger | 79 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Romilly | 87 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | African Prince | 86 | 86 | 82 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Salute The Flag | 81 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Biofarmer | 78 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Trail Runner | 75 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Stars And Bra's | 81 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Saketini | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 15 | Rock Of Bismantova | 83 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Prized Platinum | - | 71 | 73 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Legendary | - | 72 | 75 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Dante's Bond | - | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points