Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 21 MARCH CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 74 and below)
Line Horse
Coastal Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 20
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 20
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 20
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sweet And True 3 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 75 63 63 -12 2 Champonelle 4 60.0 2 0.25 4.0 73 66 66 -7 3 Smashing 4 53.5 3 0.35 4.0 65 53 55 -10 4 Coastal Path 5 60.0 4 0.45 0.0 74 74 74 +0 5 Captain Tik Tok 5 60.0 5 1.20 0.0 74 74 74 +0 6 Charlie Malone 5 60.0 6 2.45 0.0 73 74 74 +1 7 Ravilious 3 56.0 7 3.70 3.5 70 59 60 -10 8 Sound Of The Sea 3 60.0 8 3.80 3.5 77 67 67 -10 9 Notorix 6 58.5 9 6.30 0.0 70 71 71 +1 10 Russian Empire 5 54.0 10 7.05 0.0 61 62 62 +1 11 Jackson Misissippi 6 54.0 11 7.30 0.0 59 62 62 +3 12 Barzalona 6 56.0 12 7.80 0.0 71 66 66 -5 13 Lucky Spirit 3 60.0 13 10.55 3.5 77 67 67 -10 14 Grand Oasis 3 60.0 14 14.30 3.5 79 67 69 -10 15 World Pharoah 3 60.0 15 17.55 3.5 79 67 69 -10 16 Anotherdayinafrica 6 48.5 16 17.65 0.0 50 51 51 +1 17 Axel Collins 5 52.0 17 31.90 0.0 57 58 58 +1 99 Cruzador 6 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Aquila Gold 4 54.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 54 54 +0 99 Samthewiseman 5 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweet And True | 75 | 77 | 63 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Champonelle | 73 | 87 | 66 | +21 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Smashing | 65 | 78 | 55 | +23 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Coastal Path Line | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Captain Tik Tok | 74 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Charlie Malone | 73 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ravilious | 70 | 81 | 60 | +21 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sound Of The Sea | 77 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Notorix | 70 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Russian Empire | 61 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Jackson Misissippi | 59 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Barzalona | 71 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Lucky Spirit | 77 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Grand Oasis | 79 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 15 | World Pharoah | 79 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 16 | Anotherdayinafrica | 50 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 17 | Axel Collins | 57 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cruzador | - | 61 | 70 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Aquila Gold | - | 56 | 54 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Samthewiseman | - | 52 | 62 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points