Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 One Fine Winter 2 57.5 1 0.00 2.5 - - - +0 2 Time Will Tell 2 60.0 2 4.30 2.5 - - - +0 3 Wall Street 2 60.0 3 5.50 2.5 - - - +0 4 Royale Jacket 2 60.0 4 6.20 2.5 - - - +0 5 Saketini 2 60.0 5 6.95 2.5 - - - +0 6 Snow Queen 2 57.5 6 8.25 2.5 - - - +0 7 Master Predator 2 60.0 7 27.00 2.5 - - - +0 99 Safe Travel 2 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Fine Winter | - | 105 | - | +105 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Time Will Tell | - | 69 | - | +69 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Wall Street | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Royale Jacket | - | 74 | - | +74 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Saketini | - | 83 | - | +83 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Snow Queen | - | 68 | - | +68 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Master Predator | - | 45 | - | +45 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Safe Travel | - | 89 | - | - | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points