Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Living Waters
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Galabier 4 56.0 1 0.00 1.0 65 54 65 +0 2 Living Waters 5 58.0 2 2.50 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Secret Giver 4 59.5 3 2.55 1.0 67 65 65 -2 4 Khanyisa Indlela 3 58.0 4 2.75 2.5 69 58 59 -10 5 Coromandel 4 58.0 5 2.80 1.0 64 61 61 -3 6 Twice Golden 5 55.0 6 4.10 0.0 58 56 56 -2 7 Double Espresso 5 56.0 7 4.15 0.0 68 58 58 -10 8 Fever 5 55.0 8 6.25 0.0 58 54 54 -4 9 Hey Bill 4 59.0 9 7.75 1.0 66 60 60 -6 10 Django 4 55.0 10 10.25 1.0 61 52 52 -9 11 King's Cove 6 55.5 11 13.85 0.0 59 55 55 -4 12 High Green 7 56.0 12 14.10 0.0 60 56 56 -4 99 Deep Global 4 53.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 49 49 +0 99 Final Occasion 6 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 48 48 +0 99 Caesura 6 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galabier | 65 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Living Waters Line | 64 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Secret Giver | 67 | 75 | 65 | +10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Khanyisa Indlela | 69 | 74 | 59 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Coromandel | 64 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Twice Golden | 58 | 84 | 56 | +28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Double Espresso | 68 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fever | 58 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Hey Bill | 66 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Django | 61 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | King's Cove | 59 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | High Green | 60 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Deep Global | - | 54 | 49 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Final Occasion | - | 52 | 48 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Caesura | - | 81 | 66 | +15 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points