Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 69 APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Quest For The Best
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Waves 7 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 70 77 70 +0 2 Stanley 5 58.0 2 0.80 0.0 68 76 76 +8 3 Running Freely 5 57.0 3 1.50 0.0 63 73 73 +10 4 Quest For The Best 4 49.0 4 2.30 0.5 55 55 55 +0 5 In Cahoots 6 60.5 5 2.55 0.0 70 79 79 +9 6 Monsoon Kenny 3 52.5 6 2.65 1.5 66 60 60 -6 7 Forest Jump 8 56.0 7 2.95 0.0 69 70 70 +1 8 What A Blast 6 52.0 8 4.25 0.0 56 61 61 +5 9 Northern Route 7 55.5 9 6.45 0.0 68 67 67 -1 10 Over The Bay 4 50.5 10 9.05 0.5 53 56 56 +3 99 Just As Rich 4 53.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 61 61 +0 99 Son Of Silk 4 59.5 99 0.00 0.5 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Waves | 70 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Stanley | 68 | 67 | 76 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Running Freely | 63 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Quest For The Best Line | 55 | 76 | 55 | +21 | 0.5 | ||
| 5 | In Cahoots | 70 | 54 | 79 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Monsoon Kenny | 66 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Forest Jump | 69 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | What A Blast | 56 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Northern Route | 68 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Over The Bay | 53 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Just As Rich | - | 52 | 61 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Son Of Silk | - | 65 | 74 | -9 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points