Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: WSB proud supporter of KZN Racing MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mr Pigalle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fateful Day 3 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 81 73 81 +0 2 Running Rifles 3 56.5 2 1.20 1.5 74 70 70 -4 3 Mr Pigalle 4 59.0 3 2.50 0.5 75 75 75 +0 4 Gunsmoke 3 54.0 4 2.70 1.5 74 63 64 -10 5 Metallic Gold 3 52.5 5 2.85 1.5 66 60 60 -6 6 Specially Selected 3 59.0 6 3.60 1.5 79 72 72 -7 7 Spy Master 3 55.5 7 4.70 1.5 72 64 64 -8 8 Voldemort 6 59.5 8 5.20 0.0 80 75 75 -5 9 Cyber Time 3 57.0 9 5.25 1.5 78 67 68 -10 10 Callmemrgreenlight 3 52.5 10 7.65 1.5 64 58 58 -6 11 Giambattista 3 56.0 11 8.70 1.5 73 65 65 -8 12 All The Time 3 58.0 12 9.45 1.5 77 69 69 -8 13 Letsdoit 3 57.5 13 14.05 1.5 76 68 68 -8 14 Lord Wylie 7 59.0 14 14.10 0.0 75 74 74 -1 99 Cavalieri 5 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Tight Five 4 52.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fateful Day | 81 | 93 | 81 | +12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Running Rifles | 74 | 95 | 70 | +25 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mr Pigalle Line | 75 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Gunsmoke | 74 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Metallic Gold | 66 | 75 | 60 | +15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Specially Selected | 79 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Spy Master | 72 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Voldemort | 80 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Cyber Time | 78 | 81 | 68 | +13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Callmemrgreenlight | 64 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Giambattista | 73 | 87 | 65 | +22 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | All The Time | 77 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Letsdoit | 76 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Lord Wylie | 75 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cavalieri | - | 73 | 65 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tight Five | - | 58 | 59 | -1 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points