Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Lady Tiptree
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Patronage 4 59.5 1 0.00 0.5 77 79 77 +0 2 Preemptive Strike 4 55.5 2 0.10 0.5 69 71 71 +2 3 Lady Tiptree 3 56.5 3 1.00 1.5 75 75 75 +0 4 Mighty Mashona 3 56.0 4 3.30 1.5 74 71 71 -3 5 Flying Peter 4 60.0 5 4.50 0.5 78 80 80 +2 6 Mr Molony 3 55.5 6 4.55 1.5 73 69 69 -4 7 Just For Laughs 3 56.0 7 9.15 1.5 74 70 70 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patronage | 77 | 76 | 77 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Preemptive Strike | 69 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Lady Tiptree Line | 75 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Mighty Mashona | 74 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Flying Peter | 78 | 52 | 80 | -28 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mr Molony | 73 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Just For Laughs | 74 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points