Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Two Of Us
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Knight Warrior 5 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 69 77 69 +0 2 Joshua Hotsnake 3 56.0 2 0.20 2.5 69 69 69 +0 3 The Tinkerman 3 61.0 3 0.80 2.5 79 79 79 +0 4 Two Of Us 6 55.5 4 1.55 0.0 73 73 73 +0 5 Canadian Bolt 6 58.0 5 1.75 0.0 70 78 78 +8 6 Lazuli 3 59.5 6 2.05 2.5 76 76 76 +0 7 Phinda Mzala 4 55.0 7 2.55 0.0 69 72 72 +3 8 Bernie's Dream 4 60.5 8 2.85 0.0 75 83 83 +8 9 Beechamwood Boy 6 58.5 9 2.90 0.0 74 79 79 +5 10 We All Chomies 5 51.5 10 3.40 0.0 60 65 65 +5 11 Hippocrates 3 52.0 11 5.20 2.5 59 61 61 +2 12 Higher Purpose 4 55.5 12 6.60 0.0 65 73 73 +8 99 Majorca Palace 4 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knight Warrior | 69 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Joshua Hotsnake | 69 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | The Tinkerman | 79 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Two Of Us Line | 73 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Canadian Bolt | 70 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lazuli | 76 | 71 | 76 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Phinda Mzala | 69 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bernie's Dream | 75 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Beechamwood Boy | 74 | 84 | 79 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | We All Chomies | 60 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hippocrates | 59 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Higher Purpose | 65 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Majorca Palace | - | 51 | 85 | -34 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points