Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: WORLD SPORTS BETTING STORMSVLEI STAKES (Listed) (For 3 year-old Fillies (Winter Series Leg 2))
Line Horse
Peut Etre Moi
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Maria Querol 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 96 81 81 -15 2 Fleeting 3 59.0 2 0.10 2.5 79 79 79 +0 3 Peut Etre Moi 3 59.0 3 0.40 2.5 84 84 84 +0 4 Going Up 3 59.0 4 0.90 2.5 94 83 84 -10 5 She's A Rainbow 3 59.0 5 2.65 2.5 97 81 87 -10 6 Forries Forever 3 59.0 6 4.15 2.5 81 80 80 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maria Querol | 96 | 96 | 81 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Fleeting | 79 | 82 | 79 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Peut Etre Moi Line | 84 | 68 | 84 | -16 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Going Up | 94 | 110 | 84 | +26 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | She's A Rainbow | 97 | 85 | 87 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Forries Forever | 81 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points