Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING MR 78 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Captive Moon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Steinbeck 3 58.0 1 0.00 2.5 79 74 79 +0 2 Captive Moon 6 56.5 2 0.20 0.0 76 76 76 +0 3 Millahue 3 57.5 3 0.30 2.5 78 78 78 +0 4 Secret Oasis 3 59.0 4 0.40 2.5 81 81 81 +0 5 Night Ruler 3 60.0 5 2.40 2.5 83 80 80 -3 6 Piketberg Alley 4 57.0 6 3.15 1.0 72 77 77 +5 7 Line Of Duty 3 57.5 7 4.65 2.5 78 73 73 -5 8 Service Ace 3 58.5 8 7.90 2.5 80 75 75 -5 9 Super Duke 4 56.5 9 14.15 1.0 71 74 74 +3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steinbeck | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Captive Moon Line | 76 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Millahue | 78 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Secret Oasis | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Night Ruler | 83 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Piketberg Alley | 72 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Line Of Duty | 78 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Service Ace | 80 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Super Duke | 71 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points