Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs)
Line Horse
Death Blow
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Al Bugatti 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 67 60 67 +0 2 Death Blow 4 58.0 2 6.00 0.5 59 59 59 +0 3 Brave Voyager 3 58.0 3 9.60 2.0 63 56 56 -7 4 Music Box Special 3 50.5 4 10.00 2.0 50 41 41 -9 5 Ready Freddy 3 48.0 5 11.00 2.0 49 36 39 -10 6 Barbatti 3 48.0 6 12.60 2.0 50 36 40 -10 7 Deltron Energy 3 52.0 7 13.10 2.0 50 44 44 -6 8 Lockheed Electra 3 54.0 8 15.30 2.0 55 48 48 -7 9 Hallerbos 3 57.5 9 22.40 2.0 62 55 55 -7 10 Ndabezitha 2 53.5 10 23.50 0.0 81 51 71 -10 11 So Dacha 3 52.5 11 35.20 2.0 42 45 45 +3 99 Sewelo 3 53.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 47 47 +0 99 Sour Diesel 3 52.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 44 44 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Bugatti | 67 | 78 | 67 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Death Blow Line | 59 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Brave Voyager | 63 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Music Box Special | 50 | 53 | 41 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ready Freddy | 49 | 47 | 39 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Barbatti | 50 | 47 | 40 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Deltron Energy | 50 | 48 | 44 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lockheed Electra | 55 | 51 | 48 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Hallerbos | 62 | 57 | 55 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ndabezitha | 81 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | So Dacha | 42 | 48 | 45 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sewelo | - | 45 | 47 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sour Diesel | - | 34 | 44 | -10 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points