Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: CITY OF CAPE TOWN A STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Teflon Man
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gem King 6 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 106 113 112 +6 2 Tenango 4 57.0 2 0.30 4.0 104 105 105 +1 3 Un Bel Di 3 51.0 3 0.60 3.5 94 94 94 +0 4 Teflon Man 4 55.5 4 0.80 4.0 102 102 102 +0 5 Future Variety 4 61.5 5 1.10 4.0 114 114 114 +0 6 Lion Rampart 3 57.0 6 1.40 3.5 111 106 106 -5 7 Mufasa 6 54.0 7 8.40 0.0 100 107 107 +7 99 Seeking The Stars 7 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 122 122 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gem King | 106 | 108 | 112 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tenango | 104 | 126 | 105 | +21 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Un Bel Di | 94 | 99 | 94 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Teflon Man Line | 102 | 106 | 102 | +4 | 4.0 | ||
| 5 | Future Variety | 114 | 116 | 114 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lion Rampart | 111 | 113 | 106 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mufasa | 100 | 98 | 107 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Seeking The Stars | - | 116 | 122 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points