Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 DIVIDED HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Grey Ocean
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Techno Savvy         4    57.5    1    0.00     0.5   61    61           61    +0
2    Runaway Song         6    59.5    2    0.70     0.0   69    71           71    +2
3    Grey Ocean           4    60.0    3    4.70     0.5   66    66           66    +0
4    Power Ranger         7    60.0    4    4.90     0.0   66    67           67    +1
5    Mescal               2    57.5    5    5.30     0.0   83    62           73    -10
6    Arrow's Mark         6    58.0    6    5.50     0.0   62    63           63    +1
7    Lake Como            3    59.5    7    7.30     1.5   69    63           63    -6
8    Monsoon Kenny        3    58.0    8    8.90     1.5   66    60           60    -6
9    French Masterpiece   4    52.5    9    10.10    0.5   59    51           51    -8
10   Riccardo             7    56.5    10   13.10    0.0   59    60           60    +1
11   White Cedar          6    56.5    11   13.90    0.0   59    60           60    +1
12   Tight Five           4    56.0    12   34.00    0.5   58    58           58    +0
99   Lord Of The Manor    5    53.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     53           53    +0
99   Vunderbar            4    52.5    99   0.00     0.5   -     51           51    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Techno Savvy 61 62 61 +1 0.5 -
2 Runaway Song 69 98 71 +27 0.0 -
3 Grey Ocean Line 66 61 66 -5 0.5
4 Power Ranger 66 69 67 +2 0.0 -
5 Mescal 83 64 73 -9 0.0 -
6 Arrow's Mark 62 54 63 -9 0.0 -
7 Lake Como 69 61 63 -2 1.5 -
8 Monsoon Kenny 66 60 60 ✓ Match 1.5 -
9 French Masterpiece 59 57 51 +6 0.5 -
10 Riccardo 59 68 60 +8 0.0 -
11 White Cedar 59 73 60 +13 0.0 -
12 Tight Five 58 58 58 ✓ Match 0.5 -
99 Lord Of The Manor - 48 53 -5 0.0 -
99 Vunderbar - 48 51 -3 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points