Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: LONSDALE STIRRUP CUP (Grade 3) (Handicap)
Line Horse
One Way Traffic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Shango 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 108 104 108 +0 2 Flying Bull 4 53.5 2 0.25 1.0 99 93 93 -6 3 One Way Traffic 4 56.0 3 0.65 1.0 104 104 104 +0 4 Chewbaca 5 52.5 4 1.55 0.0 79 98 98 +19 5 Shangani 4 60.0 5 2.05 1.0 112 110 110 -2 6 Decorated 4 52.5 6 2.45 1.0 84 95 95 +11 7 Rex Union 4 52.5 7 2.75 1.0 80 94 94 +14 8 Salvator Mundi 4 54.0 8 2.95 1.0 100 97 97 -3 99 Green Haze 6 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shango | 108 | 105 | 108 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Flying Bull | 99 | 98 | 93 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | One Way Traffic Line | 104 | 109 | 104 | +5 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Chewbaca | 79 | 87 | 98 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Shangani | 112 | 118 | 110 | +8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Decorated | 84 | 96 | 95 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Rex Union | 80 | 97 | 94 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Salvator Mundi | 100 | 98 | 97 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Green Haze | - | 98 | 96 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points